Trump may win under certain conditions. How is the Nobel Peace Prize winner determined?

338 candidates are competing, and the award will be announced on October 10 in Oslo

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate will be announced on October 10.

While the US president has repeatedly hinted that he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize, Nobel experts say he could win only if he changes his policies.

Below is an overview of the award mechanism:

* Who decides the winner?

The Norwegian Nobel Committee, composed of five members appointed by the Norwegian Parliament, is the arbiter. Members are often, but not always, retired politicians. The current committee is chaired by the president of the Norwegian branch of PEN International, a group that advocates for freedom of expression. The committee also includes a university professor among its members

They are all nominated by Norwegian political parties, and their appointment reflects the balance of power in the Norwegian Parliament.

* Who is eligible to win?

Short answer: Whoever meets the criteria set forth by Swedish industrialist Alfred Nobel in his will of 1895. The will stipulates that the prize should be awarded to the person who “shall have done the greatest or best work for promoting fraternity among nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the establishment and promotion of peace congresses.”

The more complex answer, says Christian Berg Harpviken, secretary of the prize committee, is that the prize “needs to be placed in its current context.” Harpviken participates in the preparation of the prize committee’s work and in the deliberations, but does not cast a vote.

“They will take a look at the world and see what’s happening, what global trends are, what the major concerns are, and what the most promising processes we see,” he told Reuters. “And processes here could mean anything from a specific peace process to a new type of international agreement that’s under development or recently adopted.”

Who is eligible to nominate?

Thousands of people can propose names, including members of governments and parliaments, current heads of state, university professors in history, the social sciences, law, and philosophy, past Nobel Peace Prize winners, and more.

There are 338 nominees this year. The full list remains locked in a vault and will not be revealed for 50